Tanzanian leader emerges as
regional power broker
Tue 4 Mar 2008, 12:08 GMT
By Daniel Wallis NAIROBI, March 4 (Reuters) - The involvement of
Tanzanian President Jakaya Kikwete in sealing a deal to end
Kenya's crisis has raised hopes he can push forward east African
economic and political integration as a strong regional power
Little known outside the region before now, Kikwete -- who is also
the new chairman of the African Union -- extended his stay in
Nairobi last week to try to get an agreement and appeared to have
played a big role in securing one.
"There's clearly now a collegiate sense of wanting to sort things
out on a regional level," said Tom Cargill, Africa programme
manager at London's Chatham House think tank.
"It is a function of the developing east African community, and I
think Kikwete's intervention is strongly rooted in that."
Violence over Kenya's disputed Dec. 27 presidential election had
threatened to disrupt the whole region's economy, cutting supplies
of fuel and other goods to a swathe of inland nations.
Exactly what Kikwete did to help push Kenyan President Mwai Kibaki
and his rival Raila Odinga to reconcile is unclear, but the
perception that he was the one who made a difference has
underlined his regional leadership.
His position is strengthened by U.S. support while there is no
strong challenge in east Africa given the crisis sidelining
economic heavyweight Kenya and the fact that Ugandan President
Yoweri Museveni is no longer seen as such a darling of the West.
Hailing Kikwete as the "man of the hour" and an emerging regional
"kingpin", the East African newspaper summed up a rollercoaster
February for the Tanzanian president, 57, who has a penchant for
sharp suits and big sunglasses.
First he was elected chairman of the AU at a summit in Ethiopia.
Then he was feted during a visit by U.S. President George W. Bush,
who signed a $700 million aid grant and said he was honoured to
call Tanzania's leader a friend.
Kikwete, a former foreign minister and ex-head of military
intelligence, has solidified his popularity in the West by
pursuing an anti-corruption campaign that has not spared senior
members of his Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) party.
Days before Bush's visit, Tanzanian Prime Minister Edward Lowassa
quit the government over a parliamentary probe into a $150 million
emergency power deal with a U.S. company.
Taking the opportunity to clean house, Kikwete slashed the number
of ministry jobs in his cabinet by nearly a third.
"The big question now is how will his newfound status play in the
region," said Mwefiga Baregu, professor of politics and
international relations at Tanzania's Dar es Salaam University.
He said it would still be a tough challenge for Kikwete to balance
AU problems like Darfur and Somalia with local issues like graft,
the economy and turbulent politics on the Zanzibar isles.
"Will he just be a 'kingpin' in terms of U.S. interests, or can he
use it to consolidate the process of moving the East African
Community (EAC) to a common market and political union, without
ignoring pressing domestic concerns?
"It is an area where he'll have to tread very carefully."
The EAC set up a customs union for Uganda, Kenya and Tanzania that
came into effect in January 2005, and it welcomed new members
Rwanda and Burundi last June, making a trade bloc with a combined
population of around 110 million people.
The region plans to have a common market and monetary union by
2012, then a single parliament and president by 2013.
Tanzania, with a population of 39 million, has slightly more
people than Kenya. Tanzania's economy lags its northern neighbour
by far and it remains one of the world's poorest countries, but
reforms have won it donor support while it has become a new
frontier in the hunt for oil and gas.
Some believe Kikwete's new position in the world spotlight could
still put him at loggerheads with Uganda's long-serving Museveni,
whose star has waned in recent years.
Museveni had been the first of very few African leaders to
congratulate Kenya's Kibaki on his disputed re-election, turning
himself into a hate figure for Odinga supporters overnight.
He said he was only trying to restore vital stability to the
region, and analysts said that was revealing.
"These three states feel they have a role in each other's affairs.
In other parts of Africa, sovereignty issues mean things have to
be done quietly," Chatham House's Cargill said.
"In east Africa, there is a sense that Tanzania is not quite a
foreign country. The three nations have a shared sense of
ownership, which is a really positive thing. I don't think the
East African Community often gets the credit that it's due."